GAME:  #911 Nationals @ #912 Phillies
DATE:    9/1/2020 – 7:05 pm EST
ODDS:   Nationals +140 / Phillies -150
O/U:       8.5

The Philadelphia Phillies (15-15) host the Washington Nationals (12-20) at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA. The Phillies beat the Nationals on Monday by a score of 8-6. The Phillies have now beat the Nationals in all 3 meetings this season however Nationals have won 10 out of the last 14 meetings. 

WASHINGTON NATIONALS

The Nationals have left-handed Patrick Corbin as the probable listed pitcher. Corbin is 2-2 with a 3.82 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Corbin has pitched in 35.1 innings and has given up 38 hits, 16 runs, , 5 home runs, 8 walks, and has had 34 strikeouts. The Nationals have a career .237 against Aaron Nola with Kendrick, Gomes, Taylor, Soto, and Thames having all homered off him in the past. 

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

The Phillies have right-handed Aaron Nola getting the second game start. Nola is 3-2 with a 3.00 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP. Nola has pitched in 36 innings and has given up 24 hits, 12 runs, 6 home runs, 9 walks, and has had 48 strikeouts. The Phillies have a career .234 against Corbin with Jean Segura’s .364 in 22 at-bats leading the team. 

BATTER VS PITCHER  (dailybaseballdata.com)

TRENDS (covers.com) 

NATIONALS

• Under is 3-0-1 in Corbins last 4 starts as a road underdog.

PHILLIES

• Over is 3-0-1 in the Phillies last 4 Tuesday games.

HEAD TO HEAD

• Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.
• Under is 9-3-3 in the last 15 meetings.
• Nationals are 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.

NATIONALS VS PHILLIES PREDICTION

The Phillies were fortunate enough to get ahead early to hold on to the lead while Washington hit a barrage of home runs in late innings on Monday. The Phillies are hitting only .243 against left-handed pitching in the last 10 games. This game is expected to be lower scoring if you are looking at totals then the under would have good value. The Bookie is rolling with the Nationals to get a win in a low scoring game while the public and the sharps all over the Phillies hot streak with over 67% of the money coming in on the Phillies and 70% of the tickets are on the Phillies runline. When there is this much action and has reverse line movement it is always good to play the contrarian team. Keep an eye on the numbers closer to the first pitch start time.

The Bookie:         Nationals +140
Fade the Public:  Nationals
Sharp Action:      Phillies

1 Unit to win 1.4 Units on:  (#911) Nationals +140

ADDITIONAL WAGERS

7:05 pm EST
(#905) Cubs -1.5   -110
1.1 Units to win 1 Unit on Cubs to win by 2 or more.

8:10 pm EST
(#919) White Sox -105
1.05 Units to win 1 Unit on White Sox to win by 1 or more.