MLB 2021 Record 

Sides:  26-17 =  +10.94 Units
Totals:  23-20  =  +1.69  Units
Combined:   49-37 = +12.63 Units

GAME:   #955 Nationals @ #956 Cubs
DATE:     5/17/2021 – 7:40p EST
ODDS:    Nationals +1.5 -150 / Cubs -1.5 +130
O/U:        8 -110 / -110

The Chicago Cubs (19-20) host the Washington Nationals (16-20) at Wrigley Field on Monday at 7:40 pm EST. The Cubs are returning home from a 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers which they won 2 of 3 games. The Nationals just completed a 3-game series in Arizona with the Diamondbacks which the Nats took 2 of 3 games. Today the Nationals have lefty J. Lester (0-1, 2.25 ERA, 1.38 WHIP) facing the Cubs righty A. Alzolay (1-3, 4.50 ERA, 0.88 WHIP). 

WEATHER (baseball-weather.com)

BATTER VS PITCHER(dailybaseballdata.com)

STARTING LINEUPS (rotowire.com)

TRENDS (covers.com)

WASHINGTON

• Under is 6-1-2 in Nationals last 9 games as a road underdog.
• Over is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

CHICAGO

• Under is 3-0-1 in Alzolays last 4 starts as a favorite.
• Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

HEAD TO HEAD

• Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.
• Nationals are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.
• Nationals are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
• Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.

NATIONALS VS CUBS PREDICTION

The Cubs opened as -130 favorites and the line quickly went up to -150 because sharps pounded it. The Nationals are getting more tickets but the Cubs are getting more money on the bet slips. The Cubs have also been waiting for this day, Jon Lester returns to Wrigley for the first time since his departure to the Nationals. The Cubs are hitting lefties much better than righties at .231 batting average. The Cubs Alzolay has been pitching well averaging over 10 strikeouts per game with only 1 walk. Lester is striking out 5 and walking 4 per game to start the season. Lester has done well but he has had his struggles with the long ball in Wrigley. Look for the Cubs to get to Lester early.

The Bookie:          Cubs -1.5 +130 / Under 8 -110 (Listed Pitchers)
Fade the Public:   Cubs / Under
Sharp Action:       Cubs / Under

Wager: 1 Unit to Win 1.3 Units on Cubs to win by 2 or more.
Wager: 1.1 Units to Win 1 Unit on the Over.  

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