Virginia vs Louisville Basketball Prediction – Pick, Odds, & Analysis. 

GAME:  #639 Virginia vs #640 Louisville
TIME:    3/6/2021 – 4:00p EST
SPREAD: Virginia -2
TOTAL:      121.5

The Louisville Cardinals (13-5, 8-4) host the #21 Virginia Cavaliers (16-6, 12-4) at the KFC Yum Center in Louisville, KY on Saturday at 4 p.m. EST. Virginia beat Miami by a score of 62-51 and Louisville beat Duke last Saturday by a score of 80-73 in OT. These teams met twice last season and split the series. 

VIRGINIA CAVALIERS

The Virginia Cavaliers on the road are averaging 63 points  47% field goal shooting 8 threes on 38% three-point shooting per game. The Cavaliers are allowing only 59 points per game on 42% field-goal shooting while forcing 9 turnovers along with 4.8 steals and 3 blocks per game on the defensive end.  Virginia is led by Sam Hauser who is averaging 15.5 points, 6.7 rebounds, and 1.7 assists.

LOUISVILLE CARDINALS

The Louisville Cardinals are averaging  72 points on 46% field goal shooting long with 10.5 offensive rebounds per game. The Cardinals are allowing only 62 points per game on 38% field goal shooting while forcing 11 turnovers adding 5.6 steals and 3.4 blocks per game on defense.  Louisville is led by Carlik Jones who is averaging 17.6 points, 5.2 rebounds, 4.5 assists, and 1.5 steals per game.

TRENDS

VIRGINIA

• Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• Under is 8-2 in the Cavaliers last 10 games as a road favorite.
• Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.
• Over is 6-2 in Cavaliers last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.

LOUISVILLE

• Under is 4-0 in the Cardinals’ last 4 games as a home underdog.
• Cardinals are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win.
• Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.

HEAD TO HEAD

• The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
• The home team is 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

VIRGINIA vs LOUISVILLE PREDICTION PICK

The Cardinals dominated Duke in its last game out but that is because Duke plays terrible defense and allowed Carlik Jones to do whatever he wanted. Virginia will play much better defense and if the Cavaliers stop Jones, Louisville will lose. Virginia hit its worst stretch in recent games which is why the public is on the home team however the Cavaliers looked like they were back to playing in the win against Miami. Teddy Valentine is officiating this game and if you are familiar with him he tends to make the questionable calls in the final minutes but if the game is not close it won’t be a factor. The Cavaliers have offensive struggles but the defense stopping Jones should be enough to get the job done here. The Bookie is rolling with the Virginia Cavaliers to cover the spread in a big road win. 

BETTING ANGLES:

The Bookie:         Virginia -2 / Under 121.5
Fade the Public:  Virginia / Under
Sharp Action:      Louisville / Under