GAME:  #843 Virginia vs #844 Florida State
TIME:    2/15/2021 – 7:00p EST
SPREAD:  Florida State -1
TOTAL:      128

The #9 Virginia Cavaliers (15-3, 11-1) have an ACC road game against the #17 Florida State Seminoles (11-3, 7-2) at the Donald L. Tucker Center in Tallahassee, Florida on Monday at 7 p.m. EST. Florida State is coming off a 92-85 overtime win over Wake Forest in its most recent game and Virginia defeated North Carolina 60-48. These teams met twice last season with each team winning on their home courts. FSU won 54-50 at home and UVA won 61-56 at home.

VIRGINIA CAVALIERS

This season on the road, the Virginia Cavaliers are averaging 64 points on 47% field goal shooting along with 37% from three-point range, averaging 8 threes per game. The Cavaliers are allowing 54 points per game on 39% field-goal shooting while forcing 9.8 turnovers and adding 3.7 steals and 2.5 blocks per game on defense. Virginia is led by Sam Hauser who is averaging 15.1 points, 7.1 rebounds, and 1.9 assists per game.

FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES

The Florida State Seminoles are averaging 81 points on 47% field goal shooting along with eight threes on 40% three-point shooting and 10.4 offensive rebounds per game. Florida State is allowing 68 points per game on 40% field-goal shooting while forcing 14.6 turnovers with 6.2 steals and 2.5 blocks per game on the defensive end. Florida State is led by MJ Walker who’s averaging 13.7 points, 2.6 rebounds, 2.9 assists, and one steal per game.

TRENDS

VIRGINIA

• Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 overall.
• Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 Monday games.
• Cavaliers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.

FLORIDA STATE

• Over is 3-0-1 in Seminoles last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Seminoles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Over is 6-1-1 in Seminoles last 8 overall.

HEAD TO HEAD

• Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

VIRGINIA vs FLORIDA ST PREDICTION PICK

Both teams played on Saturday and are coming off short rest. Virginia however had to play UNC while FSU played Wake Forest. FSU ended up going into OT against Wake which is a sign they were not spending much time preparing for them. Rather they were probably getting ready for this Virginia game while the Cavaliers were getting ready for North Carolina. Preparedness is a big factor and FSU will also have some fans in the stands to help. FSU plays a fast-paced offense that can score a lot of points while Virginia has a slow methodical pace.  This game will either be a one-possession game throughout or it will be an FSU blowout. If Virginia keeps this game close the Under has the best chance of coming in however if FSU’s offense gets going Virginia will have no choice but try to keep up which will result in an Over. Florida State has won its last six home games, scoring an average of 85.3 points while giving up 68. FSU has a major rebounding advantage as well, especially on the offensive boards. The Bookie is taking the Florida State Seminoles to get the job done and cover the spread. 

BETTING ANGLES:

The Bookie:         Florida St. -1 / Over 128
Fade the Public:  Florida St / Over
Sharp Action:      Florida St / Under