Toledo vs Richmond NCAA College Basketball Prediction Pick, Odds, & Analysis

GAME:  #705 Toledo vs #706 Richmond
TIME:    3/17/2021 – 7:00p EST
SPREAD: Toledo -2.5
TOTAL:      152

The Richmond Spiders (13-8) face the Toledo Rockets (21-8) in the first round of the NIT Tournament at the UNT Coliseum in Denton, Texas on Wednesday at 7 p.m EST. The Spiders lost its last game to Duquesne by a score of 62-67 in its third straight loss. The Rockets lost its last game to Ohio by a score of 80-87. This will be the first meeting between these programs. 

TOLEDO ROCKETS

The Toledo Rockets are averaging 81 points on 45% shooting including 10.6 threes on 37% three-point shooting and 8.7 offensive rebounds per game. The Rockets are allowing 72 points per game on 42% field-goal shooting while forcing 12.5 turnovers along with 5.4 steals and 2.9 blocks per game on defense.  The Toledo Rockets are led by Marreon Jackson who is averaging 17.6 points, 6.3 rebounds, 6.1 assists, 1.9 steals per game.

RICHMOND SPIDERS

The Richmond Spiders are averaging 75 points on 47% field goal shooting along with 7 threes on 35% three-point shooting per game. The Spiders are allowing 70 points per game on 46% field-goal shooting while forcing 15 turnovers along with 5.2 steals and 2.7 blocks per game on the defensive end. Richmond is led by Tyler Burton who is averaging 11.8 points, 7.5 rebounds, and 1.1 steals per game.

TRENDS

TOLEDO

• Over is 4-0 in the Rockets’ last 4 overall.
• The Over is 7-0 in the Rockets’ last 7 games following an ATS loss.
• Over is 4-0 in Rockets’ last 4 games following a straight-up loss.
• Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games as a favorite.
• Over is 13-3 in the Rocket’s last 16 games as a favorite.

RICHMOND

• Under is 4-0 in Spiders last 4 overall.
• Spiders are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• The Spiders are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss.
• Spiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games.

TOLEDO vs RICHMOND PREDICTION PICK

Richmond is expected to be without 2 starters, Grant Golden who averages 12.9 points with 6 rebounds as well as Blake Francis who averages 16 points per game. Richmond lost their last 3 and has given up on the year after high hopes starting the season as one of the top teams and declined week after week. There is Sharp money pouring in on Toledo causing the line to go from Toledo +1.5 to -3 at some books. The Rockets have received 79% of the money on 44% of the bets. If this line remains it is a good indication that Richmond will be without 2 of its top players and the play will be on Toledo. However, you will want to double-check before placing a wager on this game. If Richmond has a full line-up then +3 will be good value otherwise hit the Rockets as the Spiders will struggle without them. Toledo has one of the best offensive teams and should be able to easily out-rebound the Spiders. Toledo is 5-1 against the spread in their last six games as an underdog. The Bookie is taking the Toledo Rockets to cover the spread in this game. 

BETTING ANGLES:

The Bookie:         Toledo -2.5 / Over 152
Fade the Public:  Toledo / Over
Sharp Action:      Toledo/ Under