GAME: #901 Padres @ #902 Phillies
DATE: 7/3/2021 – 4:05p EST
ODDS: Padres -1.5 +100 / Phillies +1.5 -120
O/U: 8.5 +100 / -120
The Philadelphia Phillies (38-41) host the San Diego Padres (49-35) at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday at 4:05 pm EST.
WEATHER (baseball-weather.com)
BATTER VS PITCHER(dailybaseballdata.com)
STARTING LINEUPS (rotowire.com)
TRENDS (covers.com)
SAN DIEGO
- The Over is 4-0 in Darvish’s last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Darvish’s last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Darvish’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- The Over is 5-0 in Darvish’s last 5 road starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Darvish’s last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
PHILADELPHIA
- Over is 4-0 in Phillies’ last 4 games following a win.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Eflin’s last 4 starts as a home underdog.
- The Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Phillies are 0-4 in Eflin’s last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
HEAD TO HEAD
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.
- Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
- The Padres are 7-15 in the last 22 meetings in Philadelphia.
PADRES VS PHILLIES PREDICTION
The Phillies are a team that can beat anyone but their pitching problems are usually the reason for losses especially in the bullpen. The Padres have the best-combined relief ERA in the Major Leagues. The Phillies are 0-9 when Zach Eflin starts as a home dog when they lost in his last start. The Padres are 10-0 as a road favorite of -140 or more off a road game in which they did not hit a home run. There is no angle to take the Phillies in this extremely slanted matchup. The Padres have the edge with starting pitching, their relievers, and their lineup. The Phillies lineup should still struggle against a pitcher like Darvish. Take the Padres to get it done today.
The Bookie: Padres -1.5 +100 / Over 8.5 +100
Fade the Public: Phillies / Under
Sharp Action: Padres / Over