GAME:  #973 Padres @ #974 Rockies
DATE:    8/1/2020 – 8:10p EST
ODDS:   Padres -120 / Rockies +110
O/U:   12.5

The San Diego Padres (6-2) have the 2nd game of the series at Coors Field for a National League West Division series against the Colorado Rockies (4-2). The Padres are off coming off a big comeback win over the Rockies in the late innings. The Padres have lefty Joey Lucchesi starting while the Rockies have lefty Kyle Freeland taking the mound.

WEATHER (baseball-weather.com)

SAN DIEGO PADRES 

The left-hander Joey Lucchesi gets the start for the Padres second game of the series. Lucchesi pitched 3.2 innings giving up 5 hits, 2 runs, 2 strikeouts, and 1 walk holding a 4.91 ERA on the season in a no-decision in his first start. The Padres offense has a career .263 batting average against the Rockies Kyle Freeland with Tatis, Pham, and Hedges leading the way but with minimal at-bats. The Padres offense is #1 in MLB in runs scored but they have been playing extra innings and scoring a lot of runs late which will be tough to maintain.  The Padres have scored 26 runs and have given up 21 runs in their previous 3 games. 

COLORADO ROCKIES

The left-handed Kyle Freeland gets the start today for the Rockies to take on this tough Padres offense. In his first start of 2020, Freeland pitched 6 nice innings giving up only 4 hits and 2 runs with 5 strikeouts holding a 3.00 ERA to start the season. The Rockies offense has had a lot of success against Padre’s Lucchesi with Nolan Arenado’s career .368 batting average as well as Trevor Story’s .286 and Kemp and Dahl over .500. The Rockies offense has been playing better each game this season. The Rockies have scored 20 runs and given up only 12 in their last 3 games.

BATTER VS PITCHER  (dailybaseballdata.com)

STARTING LINEUPS (baseballpress.com)

Lineups have not been released. Check closer to game time. 

INJURY REPORT (covers.com)

TRENDS (covers.com)

SAN DIEGO

• Under is 4-0 in Lucchesi’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Under is 4-0 in Lucchesi’s last 4 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
• Under is 4-0 in Lucchesi’s last 4 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
• Padres are 0-4 in Lucchesi’s last 4 starts as a road favorite.
• Under is 7-1 in Lucchesi’s last 8 starts on grass.

COLORADO

• Under is 4-0 in Freelands last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Under is 8-0-1 in Freelands last 9 starts as a home underdog.
• Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 Saturday games.
• Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Rockies are 0-5 in Freelands last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.

HEAD TO HEAD

• Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
• Over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings in Colorado.
• Padres are 3-5 in the last 8 meetings.
• Padres are 5-9 in the last 14 meetings in Colorado.

PADRES vs ROCKIES PREDICTION

The Padres stole a win away from the Rockies yesterday and it was a nail-biter until the final pitch when bases were loaded with 2 outs. Home runs sealed the deal for the Padres. Today, the have the better pitcher on the mound with Kyle Freeland who has only given up 1 home run to the Padres in 57 at-bats. The Padres have been exhausting their bullpen for 4 games straight so tonight they will be running on fumes. If Lucchesi doesn’t throw one of his best games, the Rockies should have no problem taking care of business. The Padres have had their last 3 games decided in the 9th inning or in extras. 

The Bookie is taking the Rockies today and the early sharps are on the Rockies as well. 

The Bookie:         Rockies +110
Fade the Public: no data
Sharp Action:      Rockies +110

3 Units to win 3.3 Units on:  (#974) Rockies +110 Listed Pitchers