GAME:  #679 Purdue vs #680 Iowa
TIME:    12/22/2020 – 9:00p EST
SPREAD:   Iowa -7
TOTAL:      153

The Purdue Boilermakers (6-2, 1-0) have a tough BIG 10 road game against #4 Iowa Hawkeyes (6-1, 0-0) at Carver-Hawkeye Arena in Iowa City, Iowa on Tuesday at 9 p.m. EST. The Boilermakers are coming off big wins over Ohio State and Notre Dame while the Hawkeyes took their first loss to #1 Gonzaga. Purdue has beaten Iowa the last 4 times they faced each other including 2 wins in the only 2 games they played last season. Matt Painter seems to have the Hawkeyes number. 

PURDUE BOILERMAKERS

The Purdue Boilermakers are averaging 74.6 points per game on 47% field goal shooting adding 8.9 three-pointers per game while shooting 71% from the free-throw stripe. The Boilermakers turn the ball over 14.3 times per game but average 5.4 Steals and 2.8 blocks on the defensive end.

IOWA HAWKEYES 

The  Iowa Hawkeyes are averaging 98.7 points per game on 50% field goal shooting adding 10.6 3-pointers per game while shooting 71% from the free-throw strength. The Hawkeyes are allowing 72 points per game on the defensive end while forcing 16.6 turnovers and adding 5.6 deals and 2.4 blocks per game.

TRENDS(covers.com)

PURDUE

• Over is 5-0-1 in Boilermakers last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
• Boilermakers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• Boilermakers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
• Over is 6-1 in Boilermakers last 7 games following an ATS win.
• Over is 6-1 in Boilermakers last 7 Tuesday games.

IOWA

• Over is 7-0 in Hawkeyes last 7 games as a favorite.
• Over is 7-0 in Hawkeyes last 7 games as a home favorite.
• Over is 7-0 in Hawkeyes last 7 home games.

HEAD TO HEAD

• The home team is 15-5 ATS in the last 20 meetings.
• The favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

PURDUE vs IOWA PREDICTION

Iowa is without a doubt the better team in this matchup and coming off a disappointing loss to Gonzaga they will be hungry for a win. However, they don’t like to play much defense and rely on offense which always gives the opponent a chance to cover. Purdue has owned the Hawkeyes in the last 4 meetings including 2 big wins last season. This line looks too easy for Iowa as the public is pounding it but we have reverse line movement which has caused this line to drop. The better team is Iowa but the smart bet is Purdue in this one. The Bookie is going to have to take Purdue in this one to cover the spread but doubtful they will win outright.

BETTING ANGLES:

The Bookie:        Purdue +7
Fade the Public:  Purdue
Sharp Action:      Purdue 

Risk 3.3 Units to win 3 Units on Purdue to cover the spread.