GAME: #905 Pirates @ #906 Braves
DATE: 5/22/2021 – 4:10p EST
ODDS: Pirates +1.5 -120 / Braves -1.5 +100
O/U: 9.5 -105 / -115
The Atlanta Braves (21-24) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (18-26) at Truist Park on Saturday at 4:10 pm EST. The Pirates pulled off the upset on Thursday in Game 1 and the Braves pounded the Pirates by a score of 20-1 on Friday in game 2 of this 4 game series. Today the Braves have right-handed B. Wilson (4-3, 5.79 ERA, 1.75 WHIP) facing the Pirates righty M. Keller (2-5, 7.16 ERA, 1.81 WHIP).
WEATHER (baseball-weather.com)
BATTER VS PITCHER (dailybaseballdata.com)
STARTING LINEUPS (rotowire.com)
TRENDS (covers.com)
PITTSBURGH
- Under is 4-0 in Keller’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Keller’s last 4 starts as a road underdog.
- The Under is 4-0 in Keller’s last 4 road starts.
ATLANTA
- The Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 20-3-3 in Braves last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
HEAD TO HEAD
- Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Atlanta.
- Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
- The Pirates are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings in Atlanta.
PIRATES VS BRAVES PREDICTION
The Braves found its offense again in a 20 run game after losing 4 of the last 5 games scoring a total of 22 runs. This allowed the Braves bullpen to get some rest after being used heavily in previous games so they will be ready today. The Pirates are bad and even though they pulled off the upset in game 1, the Braves will be looking to punish them again. The Pirates are ranked dead last in MLB in runs scored and home runs per game whereas the Braves rank #7 in runs scored and #1 in home runs per game. The Braves Moneyline is getting pounded by the public and the sharps after last night’s performance so the value will be on the run line.
The Bookie: Braves -1.5 +100 / Over 9.5 -105
Fade the Public: Pirates / Over
Sharp Action: Braves / Over
Wager: 1 Unit to Win 1 Unit on Atlanta to win by 2+.
Wager: 1.05 Units to Win 1 Unit on the Over.
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