GAME:  #727 Ok. State vs #728 Baylor
TIME:    3/4/2021 – 7:00p EST
SPREAD:  Baylor -11.5
TOTAL:      149.5

The #17 Oklahoma State Cowboys (17-6, 10-6) have a BIG 12 road game against the #3 Baylor Bears (19-1, 11-1) at the Ferrell Center in Waco, Texas on Thursday at 7 p.m. EST. Baylor is coming off a 94-89 overtime win at West Virginia on Tuesday and Oklahoma State is coming off back-to-back wins over Oklahoma on Saturday and Monday. Oklahoma State’s last loss vs a ranked opponent came against the then-#2 Baylor Bears 81-66 on Jan. 23rd.

OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS

The Oklahoma State Cowboys on the road are averaging 75 points on 46% field goal shooting along with 8.5 offensive rebounds and 16.5 turnovers per game on offense.  The Cowboys are allowing 71 points per game on 39% field-goal shooting while forcing 13.6 turnovers along with 7.6 steals and 3.9 blocks per game on defense.  Oklahoma State is led by Cade Cunningham who is averaging 19.5 points,   6.3 rebounds, 3.5 assists, and 1.5 steals per game.

BAYLOR BEARS

The Baylor Bears are averaging 89 points on 50% field goal shooting along with 11  threes on 44% three-point shooting and 11.2 offensive rebounds per game.  The Bears are allowing only 62 points per game on 39% field-goal shooting while forcing 19.6 turnovers along with 6.1 steals and three blocks per game on defense.  Baylor is led by Jared Butler who is averaging 16.9 points, 3.2 rebounds, 5 assists, and 2.2 steals per game.

TRENDS

OKLAHOMA STATE

• Over is 5-0 in the Cowboys’ last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Over is 4-0 in Cowboys’ last 4 road games.
• The Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• The Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight-up win.

BAYLOR

• Over is 4-0 in the Bears’ last 4 games following an ATS win.
• Over is 4-0 in the Bears’ last 4 home games.
• Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Over is 7-1 in Bears last 8 overall.

HEAD TO HEAD

• The road team is 12-3-2 ATS in the last 17 meetings.

OKLAHOMA ST vs BAYLOR PREDICTION PICK

The Oklahoma State Cowboys have been playing their best basketball as of late winning 8 of its last 10 and 5 straight. The Cowboys just beat Oklahoma in back-to-back games as well. These are the main reasons the public is jumping all over the Cowboys. The problem is that Cade Cunningham will be defended very well by Baylor. Without Cunningham dominating the Cowboys have little chance to compete. The Cowboys also do not play much defense and offensively, Baylor is the much better team. The Baylor offense has scored 85.4 points per game this season, ranking the Bears 4th among Division 1 teams. The Oklahoma State defense has allowed 71.6 points per game to opponents (ranked 200th). Baylor will be able to score with ease while Oklahoma State is going to see its first defensive challenge since playing Baylor on Jan. 23rd when the Bears won 66-81. The Bookie is taking the Baylor Bears to cover the spread in a big win. 

BETTING ANGLES:

The Bookie:         Baylor -11.5 / Under 149.5
Fade the Public:  Baylor / Under
Sharp Action:      Baylor / Over