GAME: #663 North Carolina vs #664 Duke
TIME: 3/7/2020 – 6:00p EST
SPREAD: Duke -11
TOTAL: 153
SPORTSBOOK: 5Dimes Sportsbook
The North Carolina Tar Heels (13-17, 6-13) have an ACC rivalry battle against the #12 Duke Blue Devils (24-6, 14-5) at Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham, North Carolina on Saturday at 6 p.m. EST. Duke is coming off an 88-69 win over NC State on Monday while UNC won at home over Wake Forest 93-83. These teams last met on Feb. 8 at UNC when the Blue Devils won 96-98 in a miraculous overtime victory. North Carolina has lost seven straight games to ranked opponents, with their last win against a ranked opponent was against the then-No. 11 Oregon Ducks 78-74 on Nov. 29, 2019.
NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS
The North Carolina Tar Heels are averaging 72 points on 42% field goal shooting, adding 5.6 threes, 11.7 offensive rebounds, and committing 13 turnovers per game on the offensive end. The Tar Heels are allowing 72 points per game on 42% field-goal shooting while forcing 11.7 turnovers and adding 6.9 steals and 4.1 blocks per game on the defensive end. North Carolina is led by Cole Anthony who is averaging 23.2 points, 4.1 assists, and 1.4 steals per game.
DUKE BLUE DEVILS
The Duke Blue Devils are averaging 82 points on 47% field goal shooting adding 6.9 threes, 11.3 offensive rebounds while turning the ball over 13.2 times per game on the offensive end. Duke is allowing 67 points per game on 41% field-goal shooting while forcing 15.2 turnovers and adding 7.4 steals and 4 blocks per game on the defensive end. The Blue Devils are led by Vernon Carey jr. who’s averaging 17.6 points, 8.7 rebounds, and 1.6 blocks per game.
UNC vs DUKE PREDICTION
The Blue Devils offense has scored 82.3 points per game this season, ranking Duke 3rd in the nation. The North Carolina defense has allowed 72.6 points per game to opponents (ranked 230th). Duke has won its last 6 home games, scoring an average of 84.7 points while giving up only 64 points. The Tar Heels are 0-10 when scoring fewer than 65 points and 13-7 when scoring at least 65. This is a game that is always expected to be high scoring however this game Duke will be focusing on defense as that is the key to an easy win over the Tar Heels. This line is also sitting around -11 at most books which is very unsuspecting to the public which is why they are HAMMERING UNC. Over 70% of the bets are coming in on UNC in this spot because of the points but the line is not moving. Vegas doesn’t like to give away free money either. Look for Duke to show up to cover the spread in a dominating performance over the Tar Heels.
TRENDS(from covers.com)
NORTH CAROLINA
- Under is 6-1 in Tar Heels last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Tar Heels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
DUKE
- Blue Devils are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 7-1 in Blue Devils last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 7-1 in Blue Devils last 8 Saturday games.
HEAD TO HEAD
- Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
SPORTS BETTING ANGLES:
Bookie Picks: Duke -11 / Under 153
Fade the Public: Duke -11 / Under 153
Sharp Action: no data / no data
North Carolina vs #12 Duke Prediction & Analysis – College Basketball