8:15 p.m. ET: New York Giants (2-5) at Kansas City Chiefs (3-4)

Spread: Chiefs -10.5
Total: 52

The Giants (2-5 SU, 3-4 ATS) just beat the Panthers 25-3 and the Chiefs (3-4 SU, 2-5 ATS) recently lost to Tennessee 27-3. The Giants are -41 in point differential and the Chiefs are -15. New York has already covered at Washington and New Orleans (outright win). The Giants got blown out at Dallas but that was a game in which Daniel Jones got knocked out early. The Chiefs are a mess right now, managing to score only three points against a Titans defense that gives up six yards per play and has not looked good this season. The Chiefs turnovers are an issue and the defense has the worst yards per play allowed in the league. The Giants match a few profitable betting systems this season. Road dogs are 43-28 ATS this season. Primetime dogs are 16-7 ATS. Over the past 10 years, MNF double-digit dogs are 16-4 ATS. The Giants also have value as a contrarian dog in a heavily bet primetime game. Look for the Giants to get the cover in this game.

The Bookie:          Giants +10.5 / Under 52
Fade the Public:   Giants / Under
Sharp Action:       Giants / Under