1:00 p.m. ET: New Orleans Saints (5-3) at Tennessee Titans (7-2)

Spread: Titans -3
Total: 44

The Saints (5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS) are coming off a disappointing 27-25 loss to the Falcons and the Titans (7-2 SU, 7-2 ATS) have won 5 straight and just shocked the Rams 28-16. New Orleans has the stingiest run defense in the NFL in terms of yards per game (73.8) and yards per rush (3.2). The Saints will be without Alvin Kamara, who missed practice all week while dealing with a knee injury reported to be a mild sprain. Kamara leads New Orleans with 530 rushing yards, 32 receptions, and seven total touchdowns. The Saints also ruled out safety C.J. Gardner-Johnson (foot) and tackle Terron Armstead (knee, shoulder). The Titans will be without safety Dane Cruikshank (knee), linebacker David Long (hamstring), and cornerback Greg Mabin (ankle). Titans receiver Julio Jones is questionable with a hamstring issue. This line opened with Tennessee listed as a 3-point home favorite. The public is rushing to the window to lay the points with the Titans coming off a big win, yet this line hasn’t budged an inch. This indicates a sharp line freeze on the Saints. Road dogs are 51-30 ATS  this season and short road dogs 3 or less are 15-5 ATS. The Saints overall have been the better defensive team this season and are fourth in the NFL with a +0.8 turnover margin this year. There are also some trends here that are hard to ignore. New Orleans has covered the spread in 23 of its last 31 games as a road underdog. Take New Orleans to get the cover today.

The Bookie:          Saints +3 / Over 44
Fade the Public:   Saints / Over
Sharp Action:       Saints / Over