8:20 p.m. ET: New England Patriots (6-4) at Atlanta Falcons (4-5)

Spread: Patriots -6.5
Total: 47

The Patriots (6-4 SU, 6-4 ATS) are playing their best football of the season and have won 4 straight recently crushing the Browns 45-7 and the Falcons (4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS) have lost 2 of their last 3 games and just got pounded by the Cowboys 43-3. The Patriots have outscored opponents 150-50 during the four-game streak and sit just a half-game behind the Buffalo Bills in the AFC East. The Falcons might not be playing well right now but the Patriots are on short rest against a team that will be looking to correct the blowout loss to Dallas. The Falcons have value as a contrarian home dog in a heavily bet game and dogs off a blowout loss of 20-points or more are 12-5 ATS this season and primetime dogs are 21-9 ATS this season. With the public pounding the Patriots we are starting to see reverse line movement at the books signaling the Falcons to cover in this one.  

The Bookie:          Atlanta +6.5 / Over 47
Fade the Public:   Atlanta / Under
Sharp Action:       Atlanta / Over