GAME:  #961 Twins @ #962 Tigers
DATE:    8/27/2020 – 7:10 pm EST
ODDS:  Twins -150 / Tigers +140
O/U:       9.5

The Detroit Tigers (13-16) host the Minnesota Twins (20-12) at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. The Tigers are coming off an impressive series win against the Cubs which they took 2 of 3 games. The Twins are coming off a disappointing series loss to the Indians losing 2 of 3 in Cleveland. This will be the first meeting between the teams this season and it is coming at a time when both seem to be heading in different directions. 

MINNESOTA TWINS

The Twins have righty Randy Dobnak on the bump. Dobnak is 5-1 with a 1.78 ERA this season. Dobnak has pitched in 30.1 innings and has given up 18 hits, 5 runs, 3 home runs, 3 walks, and 9 strikeouts. The Twins have a career .226 batting average against Detroits’, Boyd with Gonzalez, Avila, and Polanco leading the way.  

DETROIT TIGERS

The Tigers have lefty Matt Boyd starting. Boyd is 0-4 with an 8.48 ERA. Boyd has pitched in 28.2 innings and has given up 39 hits, 27 runs, 8 home runs, 11 walks, and 33 strikeouts. The Tigers have a career batting average of .125 against Dobnak in only 16 at-bats. 

BATTER VS PITCHER  (dailybaseballdata.com)

TRENDS (covers.com) 

TWINS

• Under is 3-0-1 in the Twins last 4 games following a loss.
• Under is 3-0-2 in the Twins last 5 games as a road favorite.
• Under is 5-0 in Dobnaks last 5 starts on grass.

TIGERS

• Over is 3-0-1 in Boyds last 4 starts as a home underdog.
• Over is 6-0 in Boyds last 6 Thursday starts.

HEAD TO HEAD

• Over is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings.
• Twins are 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Detroit.
• Over is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings in Detroit.
• Twins are 35-16 in the last 51 meetings.

TWINS VS TIGERS PREDICTION

The Twins have a career batting average of .226 against Boyd however the key hitters Cruz, Arraez, Sano, Kepler, and Rosario all struggle against him. The Twins are also still without Buxton. The Tigers bats are connecting right now because they are more aggressive at the plate and swinging more at first-pitch strikes rather than starting down in the count. The Bookie is expecting the trends to continue and the Tigers to pull off an upset. The Public is pounding the Twins but the Reverse Line movement is setting off some bet signals similar to the Tigers/Cubs game on Wednesday where the Tigers won 7-6. The Sharps are all over the Tigers as well. 

The Bookie:         Tigers +140
Fade the Public:  Tigers
Sharp Action:      Tigers

1 Unit to win 1.4 Units on:  (#962) Tigers +140