MLB 2021 Record 

Sides:  24-9 =  +16.98 Units  72.7%
Totals:  17-16  =  -0.16  Units
Combined:   41-25 = +16.82 Units

GAME:  #965 Twins @ #966 Tigers
DATE:     5/7/2021 – 7:10p EST
ODDS:   Twins -140 / Tigers +130
O/U:       9 -110 / -110

The Detroit Tigers (9-23) host the Minnesota Twins (11-19) at Comerica Park on Friday at 7:10 pm EST. The Twins are coming off a 4-game series against the Texas Rangers which they won only 1 game. The Tigers had a 3-game series at Boston losing 2 of 3. Today the Twins have righty Shoemaker (1-3, 7.83 ERA, 1.57 WHIP) facing the Tigers lefty Skubal (0-4, 6.14 ERA, 1.68 WHIP). 

WEATHER (baseball-weather.com)

BATTER VS PITCHER(dailybaseballdata.com)

STARTING LINEUPS (rotowire.com)

TRENDS (covers.com)

MINNESOTA

• Over is 4-0 in the Twins last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Over is 5-0-1 in the Twins last 6 vs. American League Central.
• Over is 3-0-1 in the Twins last 4 road games.
• Twins are 0-4 in Shoemaker’s last 4 starts on grass.
• Twins are 0-4 in Shoemaker’s last 4 starts.

DETROIT

• Over is 4-0-1 in Skubals last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Under is 4-0-1 in the Tiger’s last 5 games as a home underdog.
• Over is 4-0-1 in Skubals last 5 starts as an underdog.
• Over is 3-0-1 in Skubals last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
• Over is 4-0-1 in Skubal’s last 5 starts on grass.

HEAD TO HEAD

• Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Detroit.
• Under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings.
• Twins are 14-6 in the last 20 meetings in Detroit.
• Twins are 41-18 in the last 59 meetings.

TWINS VS TIGERS PREDICTION

The Twins lost 3 straight games to the Rangers at home while scoring only 7 total runs in those games while the Tigers lost 2 of 3 but scored 22 runs. The Twins will most likely be without Buxton in this game which will be a huge loss but you will need to verify this when the lineups are released. The Twins have Shoemaker on the mound today and he has failed to strike out a single batter in 2 of his last 3 starts. The public is pounding the Twins but the line is moving in the opposite direction causing reverse line movement. The Twins are the better team but without Buxton and facing a Tigers’ offense that is clicking, there is good value on Detroit at home with the + money.  

The Bookie:          Tigers +130 / Under 9 -110 (Listed Pitchers)
Fade the Public:   Tigers / Under
Sharp Action:       Tigers / Under

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