MLB 2021 Record

Sides:  20-9 =  +12.88 Units
Totals:  15-14  =  -0.01 Units
Combined:   35-23 = +12.87 Units

GAME:  #951 Brewers @ #952 Phillies
DATE:     5/3/2021 – 7:05p EST
ODDS:   Brewers +100 / Phillies -110
O/U:       8.5 -110 / -110

The Philadelphia Phillies (13-15) host the Milwaukee Brewers (17-10) at Citizens Bank Park on Monday at 7:05 pm EST. The Brewers are coming off a 4 game series in which they won 3 out of 4 against the Dodgers. The Phillies just lost 2 of 3 to the Mets in a wild series. Today the Brewers have righty Houser (2-2, 3.65 ERA) facing the Phillies righty Valasquez (0-0, 6.57 ERA).

WEATHER (baseball-weather.com)

BATTER VS PITCHER(dailybaseballdata.com)

STARTING LINEUPS (rotowire.com)

TRENDS (covers.com)

MILWAUKEE

• Over is 3-0-1 in Housers last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Over is 4-0 in Housers last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
• Over is 3-0-2 in Brewer’s last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

PHILADELPHIA

• Under is 6-0-1 in Velasquez’s last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Over is 8-0 in the Phillies last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 during game 1 of a series.
• Under is 5-0 in Velasquez’s last 5 starts on grass.

HEAD TO HEAD

• Over is 19-7-1 in the last 27 meetings in Philadelphia.
• Brewers are 15-6 in the last 21 meetings in Philadelphia.

BREWERS VS PHILLIES PREDICTION

The Phillies blew another game in late innings while having problems driving in base runners early in the season. Eventually, those numbers will change and with a team that lost a few bad games over the weekend, they will be focused to win today. There is also Reverse Line Movement on the Phillies because the public is pounding the Brewers after this big series win over the Dodgers however the Brewers are banged up pretty bad right now. We have a combination of fade the public, sharp action, and reverse line movement on the Phillies which is usually a good combination in sports betting. There could be weather issues and the starting lineups are always the final big decisions before placing your wagers so make sure you wait until closer to game time on this one. If the Phillies line reverts back it will be no play but if the sharps keep hitting it closer to game time, lock it in.

The Bookie:         Phillies -110 / Over 8.5 -110 (Listed Pitchers)
Fade the Public:   Phillies / Under
Sharp Action:       Phillies / Over 

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