GAME:   #907 Brewers @ #908 Mets
DATE:     7/5/2021 – 7:10p EST
ODDS:    Brewers -125 / Mets +115
O/U:        7.5 -110 / -110

The New York Mets (41-37) host the Milwaukee Brewers (51-33) at Citi Field on Monday at 7:10 pm EST.  

WEATHER (baseball-weather.com)

BATTER VS PITCHER  (dailybaseballdata.com)

STARTING LINEUPS (rotowire.com)

TRENDS (covers.com)

MILWAUKEE

• Under is 5-0 in Woodruff’s last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Under is 9-0 in Woodruff’s last 9 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Over is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.

NEW YORK

• Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
• Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.

HEAD TO HEAD

• Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
• Brewers are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.

BREWERS VS METS PREDICTION

The Brewers opened as -170 favorites and the line has dropped all the way to -125 at most books even with over 60% of the bets coming in on Milwaukee. The sharps are pounding the Mets after their domination of the Yankees over the weekend and even though the Brewers are on the biggest winning streak in baseball they have been playing opponents playing at low levels. The Mets have a career .391 batting average against Woodruff with Nimmo, Alonso, McNeil, and Conforto all hitting over .300. There is good value on the Mets today in this matchup so that’s who we are rolling with. 

The Bookie:          Mets +115 / Under 7.5 -110
Fade the Public:   Mets / Under
Sharp Action:       Mets / Under