GAME:  #623 Michigan State vs #624 Duke
TIME:    12/1/2020 – 7:30p EST
SPREAD:  Duke -3.5
TOTAL:      152

The BIG 10’s  #8 Michigan State Spartans (2-0) play the ACC’s #6 Duke Blue Devils (1-0) at Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham, North Carolina on Tuesday at 7:30 p.m. EST.  Duke is coming off an 81-71 win over Coppin State and Michigan State beat Notre Dame 8-70 in their most recent games. The Spartans go for its 5th straight win against ranked opponents. Michigan State’s last loss vs a ranked opponent came against the then-No. 9 Maryland Terrapins Feb. 15. 

MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS

Michigan State is averaging 81.5 points per game on 48% shooting from the field and 38% from three and 75% from the free-throw line. Defensively the Spartans are allowing an average of 68.5 points on 37.9% shooting from the field and 28.6% from the 3-point range. The Spartan’s Hauser is averaging 12.5 points along with 12.5 rebounds, 3 assists while shooting 50% from the field. Foster Loyer is adding 11.5 ppg, Gabe Brown with 10.5 ppg, and Henry with 10 ppg.

DUKE BLUE DEVILS

Duke is averaging 81 points on 53.1% shooting from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 40% from the foul line while allowing opposing teams to average 71 points on 32.9% shooting from the field and 28.6% from 3-point range this season. Freshmen Jalen Johnson and DJ Steward combined for 42 points and 28 rebounds in their first game. Johnson, the 6’9” forward finished the game with 19 points, 19 rebounds, 5 assists, 4 steals. Steward added 24 points off the bench and Matthew Hurt put up 12 points and 7 rebounds, along with Wendell Moore who added 13 points and 4 rebounds.

TRENDS(covers.com)

MICHIGAN STATE

• Over is 5-0 in the Spartan’s last 5 overall.
• Over is 4-0 in the Spartan’s last 4 games following a straight up win.
• The Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight-up win.
• The Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
• The Spartans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Tuesday games.

DUKE

• Over is 4-0 in Blue Devils last 4 games following a straight-up win.
• Over is 5-1 in Blue Devils last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
• Over is 12-3 in Blue Devils last 15 games following an ATS loss.
• Over is 4-1 in the Blue Devils’ last 5 Tuesday games.

HEAD TO HEAD

• Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

MICHIGAN STATE vs DUKE PREDICTION

The Spartans lost their best players from last season and they are working with a younger team that perhaps has more depth. The Blue Devils lost their top 2 players but bring in a lot of new talent along with some familiar faces. Duke put up 87 points and prevailed by 12 over Michigan State when these two teams faced each other a year ago and Duke has improved more than Michigan State and did not lose as much talent either. The Bookie is rolling with the Duke Blue Devils to take this one again. 

BETTING ANGLES:

The Bookie:          Duke -3.5  -110
Fade the Public: Duke
Sharp Action:    Duke

Risk 1.1 Units to win 1 Unit on Duke to win by more than 3.