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Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies – MLB Baseball Prediction

EMAILED ON July 17, 2021

Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies – MLB Baseball Prediction

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GAME:   #951 Marlins @ #952 Phillies
DATE:     7/17/2021 – 6:06 p EST
ODDS:    Marlins +105 / Phillies -115
O/U:        9.5 -110 / -110

The Philadelphia Phillies (45-45) host the Miami Marlins (40-51) at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday at 6:05 pm EST.  

WEATHER (baseball-weather.com)

BATTER VS PITCHER(dailybaseballdata.com)

STARTING LINEUPS (rotowire.com)

TRENDS (covers.com)

MIAMI

  • The Over is 4-0 in the Marlins’ last 4 overall.
  • Under is 3-0-1 in the Marlins last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • The Over is 4-0 in the Marlins’ last 4 on grass.
  • Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 vs. National League East.

PHILADELPHIA

  • Over is 4-0 in Phillies’ last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-0 in Phillies’ last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • The Over is 6-0 in Phillies’ last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 4-0 in Velasquez’s last 4 starts with 7 or more days of rest.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.


MARLINS VS PHILLIES PREDICTION

Velasquez has struggled in his last two starts and in his last one had his worst outing of the season. After yesterday’s double-header, you can expect both bullpens to be down a few guys. The Marlins bullpen has a 3.29 ERA and the Phillies have a 4.66 ERA. The Marlins’ Thompson is well rested with not pitching in the last 2 weeks and he’s been pretty solid in his first 5 starts at the major league level. Velasquez has been trending downward with July being his worst month yet going 0-2 with a 14.04 ERA, 7 walks, 6 strikeouts, and 5 home runs in just 8.1 innings. The Marlins have a team career batting average of .330 with 7 players hitting over .300 against Velasquez. We should see plenty of runs in this game and take the Marlins to come out on top. 

The Bookie:          Marlins +105 / Over 9.5 -115
Fade the Public Marlins / Over
Sharp Action:       Marlins / Over

Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies – MLB Baseball Prediction
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