GAME: #951 Marlins @ #952 Phillies
DATE: 7/17/2021 – 6:06 p EST
ODDS: Marlins +105 / Phillies -115
O/U: 9.5 -110 / -110
The Philadelphia Phillies (45-45) host the Miami Marlins (40-51) at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday at 6:05 pm EST.
WEATHER (baseball-weather.com)
BATTER VS PITCHER(dailybaseballdata.com)
STARTING LINEUPS (rotowire.com)
TRENDS (covers.com)
MIAMI
- The Over is 4-0 in the Marlins’ last 4 overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in the Marlins last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- The Over is 4-0 in the Marlins’ last 4 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 vs. National League East.
PHILADELPHIA
- Over is 4-0 in Phillies’ last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Phillies’ last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- The Over is 6-0 in Phillies’ last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Velasquez’s last 4 starts with 7 or more days of rest.
HEAD TO HEAD
- The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
MARLINS VS PHILLIES PREDICTION
Velasquez has struggled in his last two starts and in his last one had his worst outing of the season. After yesterday’s double-header, you can expect both bullpens to be down a few guys. The Marlins bullpen has a 3.29 ERA and the Phillies have a 4.66 ERA. The Marlins’ Thompson is well rested with not pitching in the last 2 weeks and he’s been pretty solid in his first 5 starts at the major league level. Velasquez has been trending downward with July being his worst month yet going 0-2 with a 14.04 ERA, 7 walks, 6 strikeouts, and 5 home runs in just 8.1 innings. The Marlins have a team career batting average of .330 with 7 players hitting over .300 against Velasquez. We should see plenty of runs in this game and take the Marlins to come out on top.
The Bookie: Marlins +105 / Over 9.5 -115
Fade the Public: Marlins / Over
Sharp Action: Marlins / Over