MLB 2021 Record 

Sides:  29-17 =  +14.3 Units
Totals:  25-21  =  +2.59  Units
Combined:   54-38 = +16.89 Units

GAME:   #905 Marlins @ #906 Phillies
DATE:     5/20/2021 – 7:05p EST
ODDS:    Marlins +104 / Phillies -114
O/U:        8 -115 / -105

The Philadelphia Phillies (22-21) host the Miami Marlins (19-23) at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday at 7:05 pm EST. The Phillies beat the Marlins on Tuesday by a score of 8-3 and lost on Wednesday 3-1. Today the Phillies have righty V. Velasquez (1-0, 3.68 ERA, 1.40 WHIP) facing the Marlins righty S. Alcantara (1-3, 4.06 ERA, 1.16 WHIP).

WEATHER (baseball-weather.com)

BATTER VS PITCHER(dailybaseballdata.com)

STARTING LINEUPS (rotowire.com)

TRENDS (covers.com)

MIAMI

• Over is 3-0-1 in Alcantaras last 4 starts as a road underdog.
• Under is 5-0 in the Marlins last 5 during game 3 of a series.
• Over is 4-0 in Alcantaras last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Over is 4-0-1 in Alcantaras last 5 road starts.
• Over is 5-0-2 in Alcantaras last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.

PHILADELPHIA

• Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 games as a home favorite.
• Under is 4-0 in Velasquez’s last 4 home starts.
• The Phillies are 0-4 in Velasquez’s last 4 starts vs. National League East.

HEAD TO HEAD

• Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

MARLINS VS PHILLIES PREDICTION

The Phillies are expected to be without Realmuto behind the plate but you will want to confirm this when the lineups are released. When Realmuto is out the Phillies pitching and offense lose a lot of steam. The Phillies have lost 3 out of the last 4 games that Realmuto has missed. Miami’s Alcantara is also a much better pitcher than his ERA is showing and after getting banged around by the Dodgers he will be ready to throw today. The exact opposite for Velasquez as he has pitched better than his averages and is expected to regress especially against a Miami team with a career team .341 batting average including 5 home runs. Alcantara has been dominant at Philly where he is 3-0 in 3 starts at Citizens Bank with an ERA of 1.33 so take Miami and the Under on this rubber match. 

The Bookie:          Marlins +104 / Under 8 -105 (Listed Pitcher)
Fade the Public:   Marlins / Under
Sharp Action:       Marlins / Under

Wager: 1 Unit to Win 1.04 Units on Miami.
Wager: 1.05 Units to Win 1 Unit on the Under.  

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