GAME:  #699 Louisville vs #700 Clemson
TIME:    1/27/2021 – 9:00p EST
SPREAD:   Clemson -1
TOTAL:      129.5

The #25 Louisville Cardinals (10-3, 5-2) have a tough ACC road game against the Clemson Tigers (9-4, 3-4) at Littlejohn Coliseum in Clemson, South Carolina on Wednesday at 9 p.m. EST. Louisville won 70-65 at home against Duke in its last outing and Clemson lost 61-80 at Florida State. These teams met twice last season and split the series with both teams winning on their home courts. 

LOUISVILLE CARDINALS

The Louisville Cardinals are averaging 70.6 points per game on 46.9% field goal shooting and only shooting 32% from three-point land.  Louisville is allowing 65 points per game on 41% field-goal shooting while forcing 12 turnovers and adding 5.9 steals and 2.5 blocks per game on the defensive end.

CLEMSON TIGERS

The Clemson Tigers are averaging  66 points per game on 42% field goal shooting along with 7.8 3-pointers per game and 8.4 offensive rebounds. Clemson is allowing 63 points per game on 43% field-goal shooting while forcing 16 turnovers and adding 6.8 steals and 3.5 blocks per game on the defensive end.

TRENDS

LOUISVILLE

• Cardinals are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win.
• Over is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 games as an underdog.
• Over is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 games as a road underdog.
• Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
• Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.

CLEMSON

• Over is 6-0 in the Tigers’ last 6 overall.
• Over is 4-0 in the Tigers’ last 4 games following an ATS loss.
• Over is 4-0 in the Tigers’ last 4 games as a favorite.
• Over is 6-0 in the Tigers’ last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

HEAD TO HEAD

• Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

LOUISVILLE vs CLEMSON PREDICTION PICK

Clemson has lost 3 straight games, mostly blow-outs, and will need to win this game to have a chance to make the tournament. This game also falls under a few systems with Reverse Line Movement(RLM) on Clemson as well as “non-ranked team favored over a ranked team” which tends to win at a high percentage. Clemson is good at defending the three while Louisville is not good at the long ball especially away from their home floor. The Cardinals are 8-0 when they make six or more 3-pointers and 2-3 when the team hits fewer than six from long range. Clemson defends well inside the paint where Louisville will have a hard time getting their points.

The Clemson defense has forced opponents to turn the ball over on 24.4% of all possessions which is the 18th-best of all Division I teams. Louisville has a forced-turnover percentage of only 18% ranking the 257th. This is a great spot for Clemson to break out and end the losing streak to get back on track of winning. The public is probably going to be backing the Cardinals more as the day goes on so there is a good chance the line could improve. However, if the line remains the same or increases then Clemson will have more value as the RLM increases. The Bookie is rolling with the Clemson Tigers to cover the spread.

BETTING ANGLES:

The Bookie:         Clemson -1 / Under 129.5
Fade the Public:  Clemson / Under
Sharp Action:      Clemson / Under