GAME: #879 Kansas vs #880 Baylor
TIME: 1/18/2021 – 9:00p EST
SPREAD: Baylor -8.5
TOTAL: 141
The #6 Kansas Jayhawks (10-3) have a tough BIG 12 battle with the #2 Baylor Bears (12-0) at the Ferrell Center in Waco, Texas. Kansas lost at Oklahoma State State 70-75 last Tuesday and Baylor beat Texas Tech on Saturday by a score of 78-70. These teams met twice last season and split by winning on each other’s home courts. 55-67 in Kansas and 61-64 at Baylor. Kansas is not nearly as good this season and Baylor has improved.
KANSAS JAYHAWKS
The Kansas Jayhawks are averaging 76 points per game on 44% field goal shooting adding eight 3-pointers per game on 36% three-point shooting on offense. The Jayhawks are allowing 67 points per game on 40% field goal shooting while forcing 12.9 turnovers and adding 7.1 steals and 3 blocks per game on the defensive end.
BAYLOR BEARS
The Baylor Bears are averaging 87 points per game on 50% field goal shooting while adding 10 three-pointers per game on 42% three-point shooting. The Bears are allowing only 61 points per game on 40% field-goal shooting and only 30% from three-point land from their opponents. Baylor is forcing 19.3 turnovers and adding 6.9 steals and 3.7 blocks per game on the defensive end.
TRENDS
KANSAS
- Jayhawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-1 in the Jayhawks last 5 overall.
- Under is 8-2 in Jayhawks last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
BAYLOR
- Under is 4-0 in the Bears last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in the Bears last 4 games as a favorite.
- The Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
- Under is 5-1 in the Bears’ last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
HEAD TO HEAD
- Underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
- The road team is 23-8-1 ATS in the last 32 meetings.
KANSAS vs BAYLOR PREDICTION PICK
Kansas hasn’t played in almost a week and Baylor had a tough game just two days ago which will give Kansas the edge when it comes to rest. However, Baylor has the advantage on offense and defense. Baylor will dominate the boards on the offensive glass and the Bears offensive efficiency especially from three-point land will be the difference-maker. This line is also too high for a ranked matchup like this one with the public is all over Kansas getting the points, and the line is barely moving. Keep an eye on this line because if it stays within 8-9 then Baylor will be the play. Gonzaga blew out Kansas and there is a good chance that could happen in this game. The Bookie is taking the Baylor Bears to cover the spread.
BETTING ANGLES:
The Bookie: Baylor -8.5 / Under 141
Fade the Public: Baylor / Under
Sharp Action: Kansas / Under