GAME: #869 Davidson vs #870 Dayton
TIME: 2/28/2020 – 7:00p EST
SPREAD: Dayton -10.5
TOTAL: 139.5
SPORTSBOOK: 5Dimes Sportsbook
The Davidson Wildcats (15-12, 9-6) have a tough A10 Conference game against the #4 Dayton Flyers (26-2, 15-0) at the University of Dayton Arena in Dayton, Ohio on Friday at 7 p.m. EST. Davidson easily beat La Salle by 25 at home in their last game while Dayton won at George Mason by a score of 62-55. These teams met last season on Feb 19th when Dayton won by a score of 73-74 at Davidson. Dayton is looking for their 16th straight conference win against the Wildcats.
DAVIDSON WILDCATS
The Davidson Wildcats are averaging 73 points per game on 45% field goal shooting while adding 9.2 three-pointers and turning the ball over on the 11.2 times per game on offense. The Wildcats are allowing 66 points per game on 42% field goal shooting while forcing 11.5 turnovers and adding 5.2 steals in 2.9 blocks on the defensive end. The Wildcats are led by Jon Axel Gudmundsson, who is averaging 14 points, 7.3 rebounds, and 4.6 assists.
DAYTON FLYERS
The #4 Dayton Flyers are averaging 79 points per game on 52% field-goal shooting while adding eight 3-pointers per game. The Flyers are allowing 65 points per game on 41% field goal shooting while forcing 13.2 turnovers and adding 5.5 steals and 2.8 blocks on the defensive end. Obi Toppin is averaging 19.7 points and 7.7 rebounds to lead the Flyers while Jalen Crutcher is adding 14.4 points and 4.7 assists per game.
DAVIDSON vs DAYTON PREDICTION
The last five times these teams faced each other dating back to 2016, Dayton has won 4 of the 5 games by less than 7 points while covering the spread only twice. Davidson has been putting together much better basketball lately than their record shows as they have won 4 of their last 5 games while the Wildcats offensive production has increased averaging 79 points per game. Dayton is well aware of this and will be well prepared. Dayton has won its last 15 home games, scoring an average of 82 points while giving up 62.5. Dayton is 24-0 when holding opponents to less than 77 points. This game should be a competitive game as Davidson will try to keep it close however Dayton is still fighting for their Conference title and will be hungry to win this game big to cover this spread. We are going to go with the Under on this game because the number simply stinks. All the averages come out over 139.5 points and this line opened at 143 and keeps dropping. Vegas knows better than we do. Go with Dayton and the Under.
TRENDS(from covers.com)
DAVIDSON
- Over is 3-0-1 in Wildcats last 4 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Wildcats last 5 road games.
DAYTON
- Flyers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 Friday games.
- Under is 4-1 in Flyers last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- Flyers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
HEAD TO HEAD
- Road team is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
SPORTS BETTING ANGLES:
Bookie Picks: Dayton -10.5 / Under 139.5
Fade the Public: Dayton -10.5 / Under 139.5
Sharp Action: no data / no data
Davidson vs #4 Dayton Prediction & Analysis – College Basketball