GAME:  #919 Reds @ #920 Cardinals
DATE:    9/11/2020 – 8:15 pm EST
ODDS:   Reds -120  / Cardinals +110
O/U:       8

The St. Louis Cardinals (19-19) host the Cincinnati Reds (18-25) at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. The Cardinals played a doubleheader against Detroit on Thursday which resulted in a 1-1 split. The Reds are coming off a tough series against the Cubs and lost 2 of 3 games. 

CINCINNATI REDS

The Reds have right-hander Luis Castillo getting the start on Friday. Castillo is 1-5 with a 3.95 ERA and 1.48 WHIP. Castillo has pitched in 43.1 innings and has given up 47 hits, 25 runs, 4 home runs, 17 walks, and has 60 K’s this season. Castillo is not pitching anything as he did in 2019. The Reds have a team career batting average against Wainwright of .306.

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS

The Cardinals have right-hander Adam Wainwright listed as the probable starter. Wainwright is pitching well this season with a 4-0 record and a 2.68 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. Wainwright has pitched in 40.1 innings and has allowed 28 hits, 14 runs, 5 home runs, 9 walks, and has 31 K’s. The Cardinals have a team career batting average of .258 against Luis Castillo. 

BATTER VS PITCHER  (dailybaseballdata.com)

TRENDS (covers.com) 

REDS

• Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 games following a loss.
• Over is 4-0-1 in Castillos last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

CARDINALS

• Over is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4 overall.
• Over is 5-0 in the Cardinals last 5 games a home underdog.
• Over is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4 on grass.

HEAD TO HEAD

• The Reds are 17-36 in the last 53 meetings.
• The Reds are 46-95 in the last 141 meetings in St. Louis.

REDS VS CARDINALS PREDICTION

The Cardinals have done well against the Reds this season winning 5 out of 7 meetings and outscoring the Reds 43 to 23 runs. Adam Wainwright has been nothing short of a beast this season and even though the Reds have had some success against him the past the Cincinnati offense is struggling right now. The Reds have only scored 10 runs in the last 4 games out and are hitting only .178 against right-handed pitching in the last 5 games. The Bookie is rolling with the team that is playing better offense right now and has the better pitching right now with the Cardinals. The public is split but mostly leading to the Cards. The early Sharps hit the Reds but the late money has been coming on St. Louis.  

The Bookie:         Cardinals +110
Fade the Public:  Reds
Sharp Action:      Cardinals

1 Unit to win 1.1 Units on:  (#920)  Cardinals +110