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Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies – MLB Baseball Prediction

EMAILED ON August 14, 2021

Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies – MLB Baseball Prediction

GAME:   #951 Reds @ #952 Phillies
DATE:     8/14/2021 – 4:05 p EST
ODDS:    Reds -136 / Phillies +126
O/U:        9.5  -115 / -105

The Philadelphia Phillies (60-56) host the Cincinnati Reds (63-54) at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday at 4:05 pm EST.  

WEATHER (baseball-weather.com)

BATTER VS PITCHER(dailybaseballdata.com)

STARTING LINEUPS (rotowire.com)

TRENDS (covers.com)

CINCINNATI

  • Over is 5-0-1 in Reds last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-0-1 in Reds’ last 5 during game 2 of a series.

PHILADELPHIA

  • Under is 6-0-1 in the Phillies last 7 overall.
  • Over is 4-0 in Moores last 4 starts as a home underdog.
  • Over is 4-0 in Moores last 4 starts as an underdog.
  • Under is 6-0-1 in the Phillies last 7 on grass.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia.
  • The Reds are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.
  • The Reds are 16-35 in the last 51 meetings in Philadelphia.

REDS VS PHILLIES PREDICTION

The Reds’ Luis Castillo (6-11, 4.53 ERA) went 3-0 with a 1.69 ERA in 6 starts from July 6 to Aug. 4. He has made 2 starts against the Phillies in his MLB career and is 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA. The Phillies’ Matt Moore (1-3, 6.79 ERA) has bounced in and out of the starting rotation with mostly poor results. Moore most recently entered from the bullpen trailing the LA Dodgers 1-0 in the 6th inning on Tuesday. He gave up 2 doubles and a single while recording only one out and all 3 runners scored in the 5-0 loss. The Reds are averaging 5.05 runs per game and 4.54 runs per game on the road. They averaged 8.67 runs per game in their last three games against the Phillies. With Philadelphia giving up 4.40 runs per game at home, the Reds will hit their average in this game. You can expect Luis Castillo to bounce back from his Cleveland debacle. The Reds have a chance at a wild card, they are pounding the ball, and Matt Moore is not a good starting pitcher. If the Phils take him out early, the bullpen is one of the worst in the majors. The Phillies got back in the playoff hunt by sweeping the Mets and Nats, but have now lost 3 out of 4. The Phillies are trending downward and the Reds have the momentum. The Reds have been good away from home and need to pick up a win on Saturday.


The Bookie:          Reds -136 / Over 9.5 -115
Fade the Public Phillies / Under
Sharp Action:       Reds / Over

Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies – MLB Baseball Prediction
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