GAME:  #909 Braves @ #910 Rays
DATE:    7/27/2020 – 6:40p EST
ODDS:   Braves +130 / Rays -140
O/U: 8.5

The Atlanta Braves(2-1) have an interleague road game at Tropicana Field against the Tampa Bay Rays(2-1).  The Braves are coming off a big win against the Mets and the Rays are coming off an extra innings walk off triple to secure the series win over Toronto. The Braves have righty Mike Foltynewicz starting and the Rays have righty Tyler Glasnow taking the mound. These teams haven’t faced each other since 2018 when Atlanta took 3 out of 4 in the series.

WEATHER (baseball-weather.com)

This game is played inside a dome. 

ATLANTA BRAVES

Mike Foltynewicz takes the mound for the Atlanta Braves for his first start of the season. Folynewicz had a 4.54 ERA last season going 8-6 on the year. He had 105 strikeouts and 35 walks in that time. The Rays that have faced Foltynewicz, have a career .240 batting average against him in 25 at bats. The Braves hitters that have faced Rays’ Glasnow have a .417 batting average in 24 at bats. The Braves offense has sparked the last 2 games which indicates they could start going on a run. Atlanta scored 19 runs in their first 3 games while giving up only 5. 

TAMPA BAY RAYS

Tyler Glasnow will be taking the mound to start for the Rays for his first start of the season.  Glasnow had a  1.78 ERA last season with 6 wins and 1 loss. Glasnow had 76 strikeouts and 14 walks in that time. Glasnow has not faced many of the Atlanta players but those he has faced have done a lot of damage with a career .417 batting average against him. Tampa Bay scored 14 runs in their first 3 games while giving up 12. 

BATTER VS PITCHER  (dailybaseballdata.com)

STARTING LINEUPS (baseballpress.com)

The starting lineups are unavailable at this time but you will want to check them 2-4 hours before game time before placing final wagers to ensure the right players are playing.  

INJURY REPORT (covers.com)

TRENDS (covers.com)

ATLANTA

• Braves are 8-0 in Foltynewicz last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Braves are 8-0 in Foltynewicz last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
• Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Braves are 11-1 in Foltynewicz last 12 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

RAYS

• Under is 3-0-1 in Glasnows last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Over is 5-0 in Rays last 5 Monday games.
• Over is 9-0 in Rays last 9 interleague games.
• Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
• Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 interleague home games.

HEAD TO HEAD

• Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Tampa Bay.

BRAVES vs RAYS PREDICTION

The Braves have picked up steam after losing their first game of the season. It is unclear at this time if Flowers or D’Arnaud will rejoin the team but there is a good chance it will be soon. There won’t be a lot of games that the Braves will be getting lines like this one at +130. There is a lot of value in this line especially considering the Braves performance the last 2 games. The Rays probably should have lost 2 out of their first 3 games but they pulled off a coming back victory that you won’t see happen very often.

The Bookie is taking the value play with the Braves today while the public is also slightly backing the Braves after the pounding they gave the Mets yesterday. This is expected to be a game that could go either way but we are rolling with a team that played better baseball in the last 3 games. 

The Bookie:          Braves +130 – Listed Pitcher – Mike Foltynewicz
Fade the Public:   Rays -140
Sharp Action:       no data

1  Unit(s) to win 1.3 Unit(s) on:  (#909) Atlanta Braves +130 Listed Pitcher – Mike Foltynewicz