7:00 p.m. ET: Arkansas Razorbacks (21-6) at Florida Gators (17-10)

Spread: Arkansas -1.5
Total: 137

Florida hosts the #18 Arkansas Razorbacks after Tyree Appleby scored 26 points in Florida’s 63-62 win over Auburn. The Gators have gone 12-3 in home games and the Razorbacks are 10-4 against SEC opponents. On a Saturday when three of the conference’s Top 25 squads suffered defeats, Arkansas and Florida were on the winning side of two of them. This Arkansas team has been hot with the only recent loss coming at Alabama and only by 1 point. The Gators are coming off their biggest win of the season and could be in position for a let-down or the type of momentum swing this team needs to have a chance to make the tourny. The Gators play much better defense than most of the SEC and Arkansas will not be able to put up their offensive averages on the road in this spot. Florida’s defense will keep Arkansas out of the paint and make it difficult to knock down threes. The public is all over Arkansas in this one because on paper it looks like an easy choice but we are already seeing reverse line movement indicating some sharp action on the Gators. The Gators could be due for a let-down but instead, they will carry the last win into this game to pull off another big upset. Take the Gators to get the job done at home again. 

Trends

• The Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  

The Bookie:          Florida +1.5
Fade the Public:   Florida
Sharp Action:       Florida