GAME:  831 Virginia vs 832 Purdue
TIME:    12/04/19 7:15p EST
SPREAD:  Purdue -2
TOTAL:  103
SPORTSBOOK:  5Dimes Sportsbook 

The No. 5 Virginia Cavaliers head to Indiana Mackey Arena to face Purdue Boilermakers in the Big Ten/ACC Challenge. Virginia beat Maine 46-26 in their last game while Purdue lost to Florida State 63-60 in a tough OT loss. These teams faced each other in March Madness of 2019 with Virginia winning 80-75 in an overtime thriller. 

VIRGINIA CAVALIERS

The Virginia Cavaliers are averaging only 55 points per game on offense however they are allowing only 40 points per game on defense which is ranked #1 in the NCAA. Cavaliers are shooting 40% from the field while allowing only 28% field goals from their opponents which is ranked #1 in NCAA. The Cavaliers are also only allowing 24% three-point shooting from their opponents which is ranked #8 in the NCAA. 

PURDUE BOILERMAKERS

The Purdue Boilermakers are averaging 70 points per game while shooting 43% from the field on offense. On defense, the Boilermakers are allowing 58 points per game with only 38% shooting and only 27% shooting from three-point range from their opponents.  The Boilermakers are struggling from the free-throw line shooting only 65%.

MATCHUP SUMMARY

This will be a good defensive matchup in a slow-paced game between the Boilermakers and the Cavaliers. Both of these teams like the slow down their offense and take their time to get a high-quality shot while they both also play high-pressure defense and allow minimal scoring so there are no easy buckets which are why the over-under set at such a low number.  Purdue has faced a much tougher schedule this year which will have them prepared for Virginia’s defense and allow them to put up good offensive numbers to upset this team at home and possibly get enough points to cover this low total.

TRENDS

VIRGINIA:

• Under is 37-13-1 in Virginia’s last 51 away games.
• Virginia is 36-15 ATS in their last 51 away games.
• Under is 28-13 in Virginia’s last 41 Wed. games.

PURDUE:

• Under is 7-1 in Purdue’s last 8 Wed. games.
• Purdue is 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 home games.
• Purdue is 36-16 ATS in their last 52 Wed. games.

BETTING ANGLES:

Data Analysis:  Purdue -2 / Over 103
Fade the Public:   Purdue -2 / no data
Sharp Action:    Virginia +2 / no data

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Virginia vs. Purdue prediction pick College Basketball