GAME: 797 Duke vs 798 Michigan State
TIME: 12/3 9:30p EST
SPREAD: Michigan State -6.5
TOTAL: 147
SPORTSBOOK: 5Dimes Sportsbook
The No. 11 Michigan State Spartans will be going for its 12th straight win over a ranked opponent when they face No. 10 Duke Blue Devils. In their previous game, Michigan State beat UCLA by a score of 75-62 in Hawaii while Duke knocked off Winthrop by 13 at home on Friday. These teams last met in March Madness 2019 with Michigan State winning 68-67.
DUKE BLUE DEVILS
The Duke Blue Devils are averaging 83 points per game which is ranked #15 in the NCAA while allowing only 64 points on defense. The Blue Devils are averaging 43 rebounds per game which is ranked #9 in the NCAA. The Blue Devils are shooting 45% from the field and 35% from 3. Duke is averaging 13 offensive rebounds. Duke is also turning the ball over 14 times for game however they’re forcing 18 turnovers per game helped by 9 Steals and 6 blocks per contest.
MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS
The Michigan State Spartans are averaging 80 points per game on offense which is ranked #43 in the NCAA while shooting 46% from the field which is ranked #69 in the NCAA. On defense, Michigan State is allowing only 64 points per game on 37% field goal shooting.
MATCHUP SUMMARY
The Duke Blue Devils are facing injuries but Michigan State point guard Cassius Winston has been struggling lately as he still coming to reality with his brother’s death. This game is going to be a battle of point guards and these are the 2 of the best point guards in the league. Michigan State should be able to pull off the home-court win but Duke will keep it close to the finish and maybe pull off the upset since it appears they may have been preparing for this game for over a week since their loss to Stephen F. Austin. However, the line movement on this game is indicating this may be an easy win for Michigan State since there is reverse line movement going from -5 to -6.5 against the public which has been pounding Duke plus the points. Sharp money is also coming in on Michigan State causing this reverse line movement. Keep an eye on the line until the tip.
TRENDS
DUKE:
- DUKE is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 vs. Big 10.
- Under is 9-3 in Duke’s last 12 Tue. games.
- Under is 7-3-1 in Duke’s last 11 road games.
MICHIGAN ST:
- Over is 9-3-1 in MSU’s last 13 vs. ACC.
- Under is 7-3-1 in MSU’s last 11 overall.
- MSU is 18-8 ATS in their last 26 home games.
HEAD TO HEAD:
- Over is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings.
BETTING ANGLES:
Data Analysis: Duke +6.5 / Under 147
Fade the Public: Michigan State -6.5
Sharp Action: Michigan State -6.5
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Duke vs. Michigan State prediction pick