12:15 p.m. ET: Michigan Wolverines (17-14) vs Colorado St. Rams (25-5)
Spread: Michigan -1.5
Total: 137
The Wolverines are scoring 73.2 PPG and shooting 47.1% from the field which is the 38th best in the country along with the 18th most efficient offense in the country. The Wolverines are allowing 67.7 PPG while allowing their opponents to shoot 44.7% from the floor. The Wolverines will be without starting guard DeVante’ Jones who’s been one of the best players in recent games. Colorado State’s David Roddy is tough to guard, scoring 19 points on 57.4% shooting and 45% from three. This is going to come down to who has a better shooting performance. When the Wolverines make 47% or more of their shots they’re 14-4 and they are 3-10 when they don’t. Considering Michigan’s inconsistency this season they would need to play one of their best games of the season to shoot at that level and the Rams have only allowed teams to shoot over 47% nine times this season. The public is jumping on Michigan because it’s Michigan but the more consistent team is Colorado State. The Wolverines are only 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. Michigan won’t be able to contain Roddy who will help the Rams to a win. We are also seeing a lot of sharp action hitting Colorado State, especially after the announcement of DeVante’ Jones in concussion protocol.
12:40 p.m. ET: South Dakota St. Jackrabbits (30-4) vs Providence Friars (25-5)
Spread: Providence -2.5
Total: 148.5
The Jack Rabbits are getting over 55% of the bets from the public and just about every expert is on South Dakota St pulling off this upset. After Providence finished the season on a bad note and the Jack Rabbits being on a 21 game winning streak, it seems like the obvious upset pick that just about everyone in the world has predicted in the first round. There is one thing you always have to keep in mind when everyone is on the same side, it’s not the side you want to be on. The Jack Rabbits have only played 249th strongest schedule and lost their only game to a ranked team which was Alabama by 16-points. Providence has faced the 56th strongest schedule and is a much more balanced team. You also know that Cooley will have his Providence boys refocused for this game considering they are hearing the same thing about losing in the first round. Providence was in the Top 10 in the nation early in the season and finished the regular season at the top of the Big East. We are getting a top team as only a -2.5 favorite against a #13 seed. The Friars will not be overlooking this game and will come out ready to roll. Take the Friars to get the cover here.
1:45 p.m. ET: Memphis Tigers (21-10) vs Boise St. Broncos (27-7)
Spread: Memphis -2.5
Total: 134.5
Both these teams are solid on the defensive end. Both teams are big and strong inside but Memphis has the edge on talent with a few future NBA players. With both teams being solid defensively, the offenses are what separate the teams as Memphis like the run the court and pick up the pace and Boise State likes to slow it down and play in the half-court. The Tigers rank 23rd in 2-point defense and are inside the top 50 in turnover rate. Memphis will dominate the boards, especially on the offensive end. Both teams are not good from the foul line but Boise State is one of the worst in all of Division 1. Memphis finished the season strong and this is the type of team that chooses when to show up and you can expect them to show up for this one. Look for Memphis to overwhelm Boise State and cruise to a win.
4:30 p.m. ET: Marquette Golden Eagles (19-12) vs North Carolina Tar Heels (24-9)
Spread: UNC -3.5
Total: 151.5
The Golden Eagles have been terrible in recent games and are just 3-5 SU and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games. The Tar Heels have been playing great with the exception of the bad loss to Virginia Tech in the ACC Championship. The Tar Heels are 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games. The Golden Eagles will have to shoot lights out to have any chance to stay in this game. The Tar Heels are going to be too tough for Marquette to handle in the paint. Bacot is one of the best big men in the country and the Golden Eagles simply don’t have anyone to match up with him. The Tar Heels are going to dominate the glass and easily cover this spread.
7:20 p.m. ET: Indiana Hoosiers (21-13) vs Saint Mary’s Gaels (25-7)
Spread: Saint Mary’s -2.5
Total: 127.5
The Gaels like to slow down the pace of the game and play solid defense. Indiana doesn’t mind the slow pace and can play even better defense coming out as the Big 10’s top defensive team. Indiana has beat three NCAA Tournament teams in Michigan, Illinois, and now Wyoming since Saint Mary’s played its last game which was a loss to Gonzaga. The only loss for the Hoosiers in that time was a last-second shot loss to Iowa which is another Tournament team. The Hoosiers are comfortable playing a slow-paced defensive battle that Saint Mary’s usually prefers. The Indiana defense allows just 39% from the field and should limit the Gaels’ offense that averages less than 70 points per game. Indiana is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games, while the Gaels have struggled as a favorite away from home going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite. Indiana has more momentum, especially with 1 tournament game under their belt. Jackson-Davis will be the best player on the court and he should be able to grind out points against a tough Gaels defense. Take Indiana to cover but they should be able to pull off a win.