7:00 p.m. ET: Louisville Cardinals (11-8) at Virginia Cavaliers (11-8)

Spread: Virginia -5
Total: 125

Jayden Gardner and the Virginia Cavaliers host Noah Locke and the Louisville Cardinals. The Cavaliers are 6-4 on their home court. Virginia scores 62.4 points and has outscored opponents by only 3.6 points per game. The Cardinals are 5-4 in conference play.  Gardner is averaging 14 points and seven rebounds for the Cavaliers. Armaan Franklin is averaging 8.6 points over the last 10 games for Virginia. Malik Williams is averaging 9.9 points and 8.6 rebounds for the Cardinals. Locke is averaging 6.9 points over the last 10 games for Louisville. After winning the Bahamas Championship and starting 4-0 in the ACC, Louisville looked set for a run at the regular-season title. But two of its last four losses have come to middling conference teams, Pittsburgh and NC State, that it beat earlier in the year. Neither of these teams is going to be great this year because they lack the offense and with mediocre defense, wins will be hard to come by. Virginia however has been playing better than Louisville in recent weeks and being on the home floor will help the offense get going. Take the Cavaliers to cover and the Under in this one. 

Trends

• The Favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  

The Bookie:          Virginia -5 / Under 125
Fade the Public:   Louisville / Under
Sharp Action:       Virginia / Over