10:00 p.m. ET: Yale Bulldogs (6-7) at Saint Mary’s Gaels (11-3)

Spread: Saint Mary’s -12.5
Total: 129

Yale is averaging 72 points per game, 161st in the country, and they are 222nd in points allowed per contest at 69. Saint Mary’s is averaging 67 points per game, 274th overall, but they are one of the best defensive teams in the country, allowing 58 points per contest, 16th overall. The Bulldogs have done better than the Gaels at turnovers, ranking 54th in the country while Saint Mary’s is 177th. Saint Mary’s has also struggled to defend 3-point shots, ranking 232rd in the country in opponent 3-point shooting percentage at 34.2%. Both teams have also had a tough time getting second-chance rebounds, with both ranking outside the top 225 in rebound rate on missed shots. You can expect Saint Mary’s to be knocking down threes on their home court while the Gaels defense should also be able to disrupt the Bulldogs. Take the Gaels to cover this large number despite the low total on this game. 

Trends

• The Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
• The Gaels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
• The Under is 4-0 in Gaels last 4 games following an ATS win.

The Bookie:          Saint Mary’s -12.5 / Under 129
Fade the Public:   Yale / Under
Sharp Action:       Saint Mary’s / Under