8:20 p.m. ET: San Francisco 49ers (8-6) at Tennessee Titans (9-5)

Spread: 49ers -3
Total: 44

The 49ers currently own the 6th-best record in the NFC. They have won two games in a row and five of their past six heading into the matchup with the Titans. Tennessee is struggling with 3 setbacks in its last 4 games but leads the AFC South by one game over the Colts. The 49ers (8-6 SU, 7-7 ATS) have won 2 straight and are 6-2 over their last 8 games and the Titans (9-5 SU, 8-6 ATS) started 8-2 but are just 1-3 over their last 4 games.  This line opened with the 49ers listed as a -3 favorite and the public is jumping on the low line with the red-hot 49ers to push the line up to -3.5 or even -4 at some books. Sharp money then jumped on the Titans dropping the line back down to 3. Tennessee has value as a contrarian dog in a heavily bet game. Primetime dogs are 26-19 ATS (58%) this season. This is just one of those lines that don’t make sense given how each team is currently playing and combined with the Sharp action and reverse line movement despite the public pounding the 49ers, Titans will be the play here. You may want to wait to see if the line moves back up to  3.5 as the public piles on San Francisco.

Matchup Trends

• The Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

The Bookie:          Titans +3 / Over 44
Fade the Public:   Titans / Under
Sharp Action:       Titans / Over