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Saint Mary’s Gaels vs San Diego St. Aztecs – NCAA College Basketball Prediction

EMAILED ON December 17, 2021

Saint Mary’s Gaels vs San Diego St. Aztecs – NCAA College Basketball Prediction

10:00 p.m. ET: Saint Mary’s Gaels (10-2) at San Diego St. Aztecs (6-3)

Spread: Saint Mary’s -3
Total: 118.5

Saint Mary’s and San Diego State both look to put winning streaks together. Each team earned a home victory in their last game. San Diego State earned a 66-56 win over Cal State Fullerton on Dec. 8, while Saint Mary’s won easily 76-39 over Cal State-Stanislaus on Tuesday. The Gaels are averaging 65 points per game on 46% shooting from the field and are allowing opponents to score 57 points per game. The Aztecs are averaging 63 points per game on 41% shooting from the field and are allowing opponents to score 59 points per game. San Diego State has the better defense, ranking 17th in the country in points per possession allowed, but is also the worse offense, ranking 280th in points scored on a per-possession basis. Saint Mary’s has the rebounding advantage, ranking 35th in the country compared to 180th for San Diego State, and has allowed opponents to rebound just 17.8% of their missed shots, which ranks 7th nationally. San Diego State has made just 29.3% of their 3-point shots. The Gaels are 10-0 when they make five or more 3-pointers and 0-2 when the team hits fewer than 5 from long range. The Gaels have 5 players averaging more than 9 points per game and should be able to handle the Aztecs in this neutral court matchup. This game is being played in Phoenix, not in San Diego where the Aztecs are much tougher to beat. Take the Saint Mary’s Gaels to get the cover.

Trends

  • The Favorite is 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • The Home team is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

The Bookie:          Saint Mary’s -3 / Over 118.5
Fade the Public:   SDSU / Over
Sharp Action:       Saint Mary’s / Over

Saint Mary’s Gaels vs San Diego St. Aztecs – NCAA College Basketball Prediction
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