8:20 p.m. ET: Kansas City Chiefs (9-4) at Los Angeles Chargers (8-5)

Spread: Chiefs -3
Total: 52

The top spot in the AFC West is up for grabs here with the Chargers knowing they could move into the division lead with a victory. During the Chief’s six-game winning streak, the Chiefs have forced 16 turnovers and allowed an average of 311.7 yards and 10.9 points. The Chiefs have won 7 straight road games against the Chargers as part of a .750 winning percentage coach Andy Reid (39-13) carries in AFC West games. Kansas City is coming off division wins over Denver and Las Vegas, holding each to 9 points. Quarterback pressure has helped the Chiefs’ defense but they may be without their top pass-rusher, Chris Jones (COVID-19 protocol). L’Jarius Sneed should bolster the Kansas City secondary after missing last Sunday’s game. The Chargers could be without Rashawn Slater, who is also in COVID-19 protocol. The Chargers are already playing 2 backups along their offensive line. This line opened with Kansas City listed as a 3-point road favorite. The public is hammering the red-hot Chiefs. This lopsided betting pushed Kansas City up from -3 to -4 early in the week. But since that time we’ve seen a lot of buyback on the Chargers at 4 and 3.5, dropping the line back to 3 across the board. Both teams have the firepower to score every time they have the ball on offense and this game could be decided by a turnover. Take the team that is playing better offensively, defensively, and is hungry for payback, and go with the Chiefs to get the cover in this one.

Matchup Trends

• The Chiefs are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
• The Chiefs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Los Angeles.
• The Road team is 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 meetings.
• The Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.

The Bookie:          Chiefs -3 / Under 52
Fade the Public:   Chargers/ Under
Sharp Action:       Chargers / Under