8:08 p.m. ET: Houston Astros (99-70) at Boston Red Sox (98-72)

Odds: Astros +115 / Red Sox -125
Total:  10 -105 / -115

Boston’s Nick Pivetta has a 5.40 ERA in 15 starts at Fenway Park this season while Zack Greinke has a 3.45 ERA in 14 road starts. Pivetta has a solid 3.81 xERA on the season but has a hard time keeping the ball in the zone. His 9.8% walk rate is a problem and he also allowed over a 40% Hard-Hit rate in the regular season. Greinke, the veteran right-hander, has pitched only once this postseason, allowing two hits during a scoreless inning of relief in the Astros’ 12-6 loss to the White Sox in Game 3 of the AL Division Series. Against the Red Sox, Greinke is 2-5 with a 5.09 ERA in nine career games. Pivetta faced the Astros once during the 2021 regular season, threw for 6 innings while striking out 9 in a 2-1 loss on June 6 in Houston. Overall, Pivetta is 0-2 with a 5.25 ERA in two career starts against the Astros. The Red Sox bats have been hot but with 3 grand slams in 2 games you have to expect some regression. Look for the Astros to even the series today.

The Bookie:          Astros +115 / Over 10 -105
Fade the Public:   Astros  / Under
Sharp Action:       Astros / Over