8:20 p.m. ET: New York Giants (0-1) at Washington Football Team (0-1)

Spread:  WFT -3.5
Over/Under: 40.5

This line opened with Washington listed as a 4.5-point home favorite. With Ryan Fitzpatrick injured for the Football Team and back-up Taylor Heinicke starting in his place, respected money has pounced on the Giants getting points, dropping the line from 4.5 to 3.5. The Giants check off several boxes for value-minded bettors. New York is contrarian in a heavily bet primetime game, as just under two-thirds of bets are laying the points with Washington at home. The Giants are also a divisional dog in a low total game. Divisional matchups provide an edge to dogs as the built-in familiarity levels the playing field and lead to close games, which benefits the team getting points. Low totals benefit dogs as the fewer amount of expected points are scored to make it harder for the favorite to cover the number. Dogs went 12-4 ATS (75%) in Week 1. Also, teams coming off a Week 1 loss of 10-points or more have gone 21-10 ATS (67.7%) in Week 2 over the past decade. This speaks to the importance of not falling victim to recency bias. When two winless teams face-off, the dog is 34-24 ATS (58.6%) the past decade. The lead ref, Scott Novak, has historically favored road teams (40-27 ATS, 59.7%). The Giants have defeated Washington five straight times. Take the Giants to cover.

The Bookie:          Giants +3.5 / Over 40.5
Fade the Public:   Giants / Under
Sharp Action:       WFT / Under