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Tampa Bay Rays vs Philadelphia Phillies – MLB Baseball Prediction

EMAILED ON August 24, 2021

Tampa Bay Rays vs Philadelphia Phillies – MLB Baseball Prediction

GAME:   #975 Rays @ #976 Phillies
DATE:     8/24/2021 – 7:05 p EST
ODDS:    Rays -110 / Phillies +100
O/U:        9  -115 / -105

The Philadelphia Phillies (63-61) host the Tampa Bay Rays (77-48) at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday at 7:05 pm EST.  

WEATHER (baseball-weather.com)

BATTER VS PITCHER(dailybaseballdata.com)

STARTING LINEUPS (rotowire.com)

TRENDS (covers.com)

TAMPA BAY

  • Over is 6-0 in Rays last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • The Over is 7-0 in Rays’ last 7 during game 1 of a series.
  • Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 interleague games.
  • The Over is 4-0 in Rays’ last 4 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.

PHILADELPHIA

  • Under is 4-0-2 in the Phillies last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-0-1 in Phillies’ last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • The Under is 3-0-1 in Phillies’ last 4 games as a home underdog.
  • Under is 5-0 in the Phillies’ last 5 during game 1 of a series.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • The Rays are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
  • The Rays are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in Philadelphia.

RAYS VS PHILLIES PREDICTION

The Phillies will send Ranger Suarez (5-4, 1.47 ERA) to the mound Tuesday night. Drew Rasmussen (1-1, 3.64) is scheduled to start for the Rays. Rasmussen has made two career appearances against the Phillies, both this season, with 5 strikeouts in 3 scoreless innings. This line opened at pick’em with both sides listed at roughly -105 odds. Sharp money has jumped on the Rays early, steaming Tampa Bay up to a -110-120 road favorite. Non-division favorites receiving 10-cents of steam or more are 250-158 (61%) this season. Short road favorites -150 or less off a win are 139-94 (60%). Tampa Bay is 2-0 against Philadelphia this season.  Neither of these pitchers is likely to pitch longer than four innings, so once they exit the real mismatch begins. Tampa Bay has the best bullpen ERA in the MLB. Philadelphia ranks 22nd in reliever ERA and leads the league in blown saves. Sharps have also hit the under, steaming the total down to 9. Look for the Rays and the Under in this one. 


The Bookie:          Rays -110 / Under 9 -105
Fade the Public Phillies / Under
Sharp Action:       Phillies / Under

Tampa Bay Rays vs Philadelphia Phillies – MLB Baseball Prediction
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