GAME: #909 Reds @ #910 Braves
DATE: 8/11/2021 – 7:20 p EST
ODDS: Reds -105 / Braves -105
O/U: 9.5 -110 / -110
The Atlanta Braves (58-55) host the Cincinnati Reds (61-53) at Truist Park on Wednesday at 7:20 pm EST.
WEATHER (baseball-weather.com)
BATTER VS PITCHER (dailybaseballdata.com)
STARTING LINEUPS (rotowire.com)
TRENDS (covers.com)
CINCINNATI
- Over is 3-0-1 in Reds’ last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Reds’ last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- The Under is 7-0-2 in Reds’ last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Miley’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
ATLANTA
- Under is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Toussaints last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
HEAD TO HEAD
- Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.
- The Reds are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.
- Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta.
- The Reds are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.
REDS VS BRAVES PREDICTION
In tonight’s game, the Reds give the ball to lefty Wade Miley (9-4, 2.75 ERA) and the Braves start with righty Touki Toussaint (1-2, 4.43 ERA). The Reds have scored only 8 runs over the past three games. Wade Miley has allowed 37 earned runs in his first 20 games of the season. He is 2-2 with a 4.91 ERA in his career versus Atlanta. The Reds were rolling before getting crushed by Cleveland on Monday night while the Braves enjoyed an off day. Atlanta has pushed into second place in the NL East and Toussaint has pitched well in his few starts this season. Miley’s last time out was good but that was against a weak Pittsburgh team. This line opened at a pick’em with both sides listed at -105. The public is split and doesn’t know who to back. But we’ve seen pros quietly side the Braves, pushing Atlanta up from -105 to -115 at some books. Non-division home favorites off a win are 210-136 (60.7%) this season. Short home favorites -130 or less are 208-152 (57.85), winning roughly + 27 units. Atlanta is 38-35 as a favorite. Cincinnati is 23-27 as a dog. The Braves have a +66 in run differential compared to the Reds who are +15. Look for the Braves to get another win in this one.
The Bookie: Braves -105 / Over 9.5 -110
Fade the Public: Braves / Under
Sharp Action: Braves / Over