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Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins – MLB Baseball Prediction

EMAILED ON June 11, 2021

Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins – MLB Baseball Prediction

2021 MLB Record 

Sides:  40-26 =  +16.13 Units
Totals:  33-31  =  +0.14  Units
Combined:   73-57 = +16.27 Units

 

GAME:   #905 Braves @ #906 Marlins
DATE:     6/11/2021 – 7:10p EST
ODDS:    Braves -119 / Marlins +109
O/U:        7.5 -105 / -115

The Miami Marlins (27-35) host the Atlanta Braves (29-31) at loanDepot Park on Friday at 7:10 pm EST.The Braves just lost 2 of 3 games in Philly and the Marlins won 2 of 3 games against the Rockies in Miami in these teams’ previous series. Today the Braves are starting righty C. Morton (5-2, 4.21 ERA, 1.26 WHIP) who will be facing the Marlins righty S. Alcantara (3-5, 3.30 ERA, 1.26 WHIP). 

WEATHER (baseball-weather.com)

BATTER VS PITCHER(dailybaseballdata.com)

STARTING LINEUPS (rotowire.com)

TRENDS (covers.com)

ATLANTA

  • Braves are 4-0 in Morton’s last 4 starts on grass.
  • Braves are 4-0 in Morton’s last 4 starts.
  • Under is 6-1 in Braves last 7 games as a road favorite.

MIAMI

  • Under is 4-0 in Marlin’s last 4 games following a win.
  • Under is 4-0 in Alcantaras last 4 starts on grass.
  • Under is 4-0 in Alcantaras last 4 starts overall.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.
  • The Braves are 38-15 in the last 53 meetings.


BRAVES VS MARLINS PREDICTION

Miami has the pitching advantage with Alcantara and the bullpen however the Braves have the better overall offense. The current Braves lineup is batting just .194 against Alcantara in his career with Acuña, Freeman, and Albies a combined 8-for-42 (.190) with 7 strikeouts. The Marlins have scored 20 runs and the Braves only scored 13 runs in each of their last 3 games. The Marlins’ roster has a combined .326 batting average against Morton and had success against him earlier this season. The Marlins have won 3 out of 4 games they have met this season and the Marlins have more momentum going into this series. The Marlins line opened at +115 and despite the public being all over the Braves, it has dropped because of sharp money coming in on the Marlins.  Look for the Marlins to get the win in this one. 

The Bookie:          Marlins +109 / Over 7.5 -105
Fade the Public Marlins / Under
Sharp Action:       Marlins / Over

Wager: 1 Unit to Win 1.09 Units on the Marlins to win. (Alcantara)
Wager: 1.05 Units to Win 1 Unit on the Over.  

 

 

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Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins – MLB Baseball Prediction
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