GAME:  #903 Marlins @ #904 Brewers
DATE:     4/26/2021 – 7:40p EST
ODDS:   Marlins +150 / Brewers -180
O/U:        6.5 -110 / -110

The Milwaukee Brewers (13-8) host the Miami Marlins (9-12) at Miller Park on Monday at 7:40 pm EST. The Brewers beat the Cubs 2 out of 3 games in their previous series and the Marlins lost 3 out of 4 in San Francisco. The Brew Crew has righty Corbin Burnes (2-1, 0.37 ERA) on the bump against Miami’s lefty Trevor Rogers (2-1, 1.64 ERA). 

WEATHER (baseball-weather.com)

BATTER VS PITCHER(dailybaseballdata.com)

STARTING LINEUPS (rotowire.com)

TRENDS (covers.com)

MIAMI

• Under is 3-0-1 in the Marlins last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Under is 3-0-2 in the Marlins last 5 Monday games.
• Under is 5-0-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. National League Central.
• The Marlins are 0-4 in Rogers’ last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

MILWAUKEE

• Under is 3-0-1 in Burnes’ last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Under is 4-0-2 in Burnes’ last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Under is 3-0-1 in Burnes’ last 4 starts as a home favorite.
• Under is 6-0-1 in Burnes’ last 7 starts as a favorite.
• Under is 6-0-1 in Burnes’ last 7 starts on grass.

HEAD TO HEAD

• The Marlins are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings.
• Over is 11-4-1 in the last 16 meetings in Milwaukee.
• The Marlins are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings in Milwaukee.
• Over is 35-17-3 in the last 55 meetings.

MARLINS VS BREWERS PREDICTION

The Brewers have Corbin on the mound today and he is in his prime with a point to prove. He’s putting the whole team on his back this season and you will see that every time he steps on the bump. The windy weather in the midwest will have them close the roof at Miller Park for this one and that puts Miami at an advantage considering they play mostly indoors down in Florida. The Brewers are the right choice if you based it on starting pitching however I think we are going to see some action from Aguilar who got traded to Miami. There’s always good value in revenge spots so taking Miami here is worth the risk. 

The Bookie:         Marlins +150  / Over 6.5 -110 (Listed Pitchers)
Fade the Public:   Marlins / Over
Sharp Action:       Marlins / Over

Get Free MLB Picks to your Inbox:  https://thebookie.co/mlb-picks/

Get The Baseball Betting Blueprint – A simple guide to finding winning MLB picks.