GAME:  #731 Indiana vs #732 Wisconsin
TIME:    1/7/2021 – 7:00p EST
SPREAD:   Wisconsin -8
TOTAL:      129

The Indiana Hoosiers (7-4) have a BIG 10 road game against the #8 Wisconsin Badgers (9-2) at the Kohl Center in Madison, Wisconsin on Thursday at 7 p.m. EST.  In their last game, the Hoosiers defeated Maryland at home by a score of 63-55 and the Badgers smashed Minnesota at home by a score of 71-59. These teams met once last season in Indiana when the Badgers won by a score of 56-60. 

INDIANA HOOSIERS

The Indiana Hoosiers are another BIG 10 team that plays much worse on the road compared to at home so we are going to take a look at the AWAY stats. The Hoosiers are averaging 63.5 points per game on 38.3% field goal shooting heading 5.5 three-pointers per game and 11 turnovers on the offensive end. Indiana is allowing 69 points per game on 39.8% field goal shooting while forcing 10.5 turnovers and adding 6.5 steals and three blocks per game on the defensive end.

WISCONSIN BADGERS

The Wisconsin Badgers are a team that plays much better at home so we are going to be looking at the home court stats. The Badgers are averaging 76.4 points per game on 47.1% field goal shooting and adding 9 three-pointers on 42.9% three-point field-goal shooting percentage while committing only 8.2 turnovers per game on offense. Wisconsin is allowing 58 points per game on 36.3% field-goal shooting and only 29.8% three-point field goal shooting percentage on defense. The Badgers are forcing 12.2 turnovers natting 3.6 deals and 3.8 blocks per game on the defensive end.

 TRENDS(covers.com)

INDIANA

• The Under is 5-0-1 in Hoosiers last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Under is 10-2-1 in Hoosiers last 13 games as an underdog.
• The Under is 5-1-1 in Hoosiers last 7 road games.
• Under is 8-2-1 in Hoosiers last 11 games as a road underdog.

WISCONSIN

• Badgers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 Thursday games.
• Under is 4-1 in Badgers last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
• Over is 17-6-1 in Badger’s last 24 home games.

HEAD TO HEAD

• The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
• Underdog is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings.

INDIANA vs WISCONSIN PREDICTION

The total on this game indicates that Indiana is going to have a typical offensive road game. The public has also been pounding Indiana but the line has moved from 7.5 to 8 and 8.5 at some books. Often when you see these large lines between 2 good teams, it just doesn’t make a lot of sense. We have seen a  lot of this lately in the BIG 10 and it has been very profitable laying the points on the home fav. The Hoosiers are expected to be without Franklin, one of their best guards who scores double digits. Nate Reuvers is one of the best shot blockers in the BIG 10 and he will make it hard on Jackson-Davis to do what he did against Maryland. Wisconsin doesn’t turn the ball over and you don’t get easy buckets and with Indiana allowing 69 ppg on the road, Wisconsin will not have a problem scoring if they can knock down some threes to open up the paint for the big men. The Bookie is taking the Wisconsin Badgers to cover the spread. The total is tough in this game but if Wisconsin puts up low to mid 70’s there is a good chance it will go Over. 

BETTING ANGLES:

The Bookie:         Wisconsin -8 / Over 129
Fade the Public:  Wisconsin / Over
Sharp Action:      Wisconsin / Over